Politics Archives

Gasland, Josh Fox and a World of Misinformation

Original Post: Published on: Sep 11, 2010 @ 20:58

So, I have started a few different post on Gasland and have never got around to finishing one because I typically get frustrated when I read peoples comments on the topic. Industry has tackled the mythbuster portion of gasland, but the public seem more happy to listen to lies, misinformation, and utter stupidity than the facts. http://www.energyindepth.org/2010/06/debunking-gasland/

I have come to realize that the anti-fracking movement is largely composed of conspiracy theorists and super environmentalists. Even when presented with facts they believe that they are being fed lies because the answers can only come from the companies that they are attacking.

If you haven’t watched gasland jumping through this clip will give you a relatively good idea of its content.

http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/613/index.html

Assuming you watched the video and came back you may have sided with Fox because something about his voice compels you trust what he is saying. Unfortunately, he doesn’t know what he is talking about, and he makes it sound like fracking is something that is new or not well understood which is simply untrue. The process has been used for more than 30 years and the processes is much safer than it has ever been.

The only thing that I will give Fox credit for is that he may have uncovered a few cases where oil companies screwed up, but most of his documentary was totally debunked by energyindepth who showed that most were documented cases. Fracking technology is proven, and it is up to the states to properly regulate hydraulic fracturing. Fox also makes the claim that is is fairly common to be able to light you water on fire in areas where natural gas drilling is taking place and blames it on fracking. In part that is a true statement, but in reality it probably has nothing to do with fracking, and before his “documentary” came out it was relatively easy to research but that information has been replaced with a load of garbage. Many people around the country can light their water on fire and that was one way to find natural gas in the past.  After this film came out lots of people tried to light their water on fire and found that it could in fact be lit so it was naturally the oil companies fault. Now everyone seems to think that the oil companies caused all the problems. This is especially true in Eastern Wyoming and parts of Colorado where people draw water out of coal seams. Natural gas will dissolve in water naturally and when it is depressurized it will come out of solution just like taking to top off a bottle of pop. Production causes a pressure drop which causes the gas to come out of solution. Fracing is not the direct cause of the problem. For the recorded oil companies probably shouldn’t have fracked so shallow, that said I am sure some cases were caused by oil companies, but that would have to be investigated on a case by case basis and does not represent an industry wide problem. A few bad frack jobs are not going to cause massive water problems that will affect large numbers of people because any chemicals that make it into ground or surface water will get diluted. Personally, I have a feeling that the run off from parking lots and the stuff that comes out of storm drains in any city is probably a lot worse for the environment than fracking fluid. People are just looking for a scapegoat.

Every video on the internet that involves burning water coming from a  faucet now seem to have some reference to gasland in the comments section, and blame firmly pointed at the gas companies.   Biogenic gas is something that our good friend Mr. Fox totally missed, and may explain several of the cases where he showed people lighting their water faucets on fire, and has absolutely nothing to do will oil and gas drilling. The information on this page may help you understand how widespread biogenic gas in water wells actually is. https://www.dmr.nd.gov/ndgs/shallowgas/sgasnew.asp North Dakota is the only state where I have found a study on the topic, but I am sure several other states have similar information available. The point is that gas in water wells is not at all uncommon.

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Update: Incorporating the first two comments. I function a bit better when I have questions to answer.

Angela Monti fox says:

Hi, Your use if these derogatory words, “Josh Fox is full of shit” to express your dislike for GASLAND, shows your ignorance of facts and inability to put forth valid intelligent arguments against fracking.

In fact when you do develop an argument with some degree of intelligent comment, your statements actually prove rather then disprove some of the main points of the movie. For example: “it is up to the states to properly regulate hydraulic fracturing”. Yes, this is exactly one of the points made in the movie. However, states are “unable” to regulate because the toxic formulas have been kept secret (point #1) made in the movie, (point 2) the states are inadequately staffed to properly investigate and regulate. (Point 3) the federal government has enabled the oil and gas industry to wreck havoc on lives, land, water and air by the creation of “loopholes” in the law that enable the industry to be “exempt from the clean water-clean air act and the super fund law that requires the industry to clean up their mess.

Next, your statement “I’m sure some cases (of water contamination) were caused by oil companies”; The fact that you site these events as insignificant show your lack of regard for human life in general. Even if only some cases are caused by the production of natural gas those people’s lives are just as important as yours. In addition, the cases shown in the movie are simply EXAMPLES! THERE IS MUCH MORE FOOTAGE AND MANY MORE PEOPLE IF YOU CARE TO LOOK.

One wonders what your motivation is for taking the position you have taken and to be so seemingly angry about this movie. Have you leased your land? Are you invested in natural gas? Why would you be particularly angry with Josh Fox as to say he is “full of shit”? This shows your crudeness and your inability to actually make a rational argument against the movie.

In addition, we understand why the natural gas industry has tried to “debunk” the movie; simply because were the federal government to reinstate the protection of our air and water, and reinstate the “super fund” law making the oil and gas industry responsible for the damage they cause, the industry would not be profitable. Were it to be no longer profitable to produce natural gas through this method the industry might then look to alternative non fossil fuels. This is not a conspiracy theory and to link that movement to this movie is bizarre and absurd. Are all the people at Sundance, and HBO part of that conspiracy?

My Rebuttal:

Ben says:

I feel that Josh Fox is intentionally misleading the public by either totally misstating facts our outright lying. I am not against proper regulation of fracking, but pushing people to fear fracking is ridiculous.

My Break Down For you:

Point 1 response:

“formulas have been kept secret” –True, but the ingredients are not secret.

Many of the things in frack water are bad for the environment, but it is nearly impossible for frack water to mix with drinking water or anything on the surface as long as it is properly handled and disposed of. (Most often the water is re-inject far below any potential drinking water.)

States are NOT “unable” to regulate the oil and gas industry in their respective states (that idea is insulting). Most states are able to handle regulating the oil and gas industry within their respective states. States that have trouble regulating the oil and gas industry are improperly utilizing tax dollars they make from drilling which is a problem the state needs to fix and not the federal government.

Point 2 response:

The federal government is even more inadequately staffed to properly investigate and regulate the oil and gas industry. A very deep understanding of local geology is a must, and can not be painted with a broad brush which is what the federal government likes to do. In order for the fed to be affective they would be forced to contract out the work which is something the states could also do.

Point 3 Response:

I sort of agree with you, but that is a whole different issue, and I also think it points to state regulation as an option.

Personal Attacks Response:

“The fact that you site these events as insignificant show your lack of regard for human life in general.”

I don’t feel that they are insignificant. The oil companies should be forced to provide alternatives if they really were the cause.There is no real fix for totally botched frac jobs so significant effort needs to be taken to make sure that they do not happen. Obviously, the goal is to have no failed frack jobs, but bad things can happen. Lucky for the world, the incentive is economic rather than an imposed regulation. No oil company wants to absorb the loss of a 5 million dollar well which can be the result of a failed frack job.

Also, I do value having lights and driving, and other alternatives are not yet available. We can get oil and gas from other parts of the world, but your stance on the topic is really it is just a case of not in my back yard. We have one of the best developed horizontal fracking programs in the world and it will have a long term affect on the quality of life for our country as a whole.

- I do not own land that is leased, and I never will be unless something amazing is developed for gasifying deep coal in place. (The technology does exist but will serve no purpose in the near-term)

- I am not invested in natural gas in any way. (I simply choose to defend the lesser evil)

* I feel that fracking will be important in the future because it is better than buying oil and gas from countries that hate us. (I am not an energy independence crackpot, but everything makes some difference)

* fracking/natural gas is better for the environment than most alternatives, and it is most cost effective

– Tar sands are going to get bigger

– Near surface oil shale is a dumb idea because of the amount of water it takes, and it is mostly found in arid regions

– Most countries with the exception of a few have even less regulation that we do.

I said Josh Fox is full of shit because I think he is, and I would probably tell him so in person as well provide a lengthy geology lesson. Why do you feel that we need to live in such a politically correct world? Does my foul language really hurt you? Based on your name I assume you may be related to Mr. Fox so it probably does offend you, but the statement was mostly used as an attention grabber and it must have worked.

I am angry with Fox because he blatantly lies to push his own agenda.(I feel he is enjoying being famous) The reality is that fracking is fairly safe, and oil companies go to great lengths to not frack into formations that have a lot of water. (Not to say mistakes are not made). I present a basic geology lesson for anyone who may have read this far. Shales are really lithified clays, and clays generally swell if they are exposed to water which close fractures and reduces gas and oil production.(Chemicals are partly used to reduce this affect) In addition, shales typically contain laminated layers so when high pressure fluids are pumped down hole the natural tendency of the shale is to fracture alone the laminations because that is typically the weakest point. HOWEVER, the natural existing stress fields in rocks almost always cause significant vertical fractures which is usually the intended goal of fracking. Fractures fluid should not be able to make it anywhere near the water table because there is a pressure drop as you move away from your injection site point below the surface. Note: There are even more reasons as to why Fracking works and is safe but that is going to require its own post.

Industry has no real reason to be worried about the super fund law, but they are worried about unnecessary regulation and bans/moratoriums on fracking. (Utter stupidity, like what has been seen by the state of New York.) Profitability will not be affected as long as fracking is allowed to continue. Without fracking producing gas from shale formations is not an option.

Non-fossil fuels are decades out. -Fact

I still invest in them, but the technology isn’t there yet.

–The electrical grid needs an upgrade and there will need to be a redistribution of power generation.

–People need to start generating their own power.

Both will likely be the part of the solution, but cheap natural gas will push those technologies farther off into the future.

I did not mean to imply that this is a conspiracy theory. (I’m not sure how you came to that conclusion) The meaning of that statement is that even when people are presented with facts they think it is just the big bad oil industry lying to them. The fact of the matter is that the oil industry is just trying to do damage control by releasing more information on fracking, and they are the ones who have all the data on the topic. I think HBO and Sundance 1. put it on the air because they believed a bunch of lies 2. wanted to capitalize on peoples lack of understanding of the topic.

Another little update: The following link is boring but informative video made by the shale gas industry that directly addresses peoples concerns with fracking, and it also brings to light what people may actually want to be concerned with.  http://shalegasfuture.com/

Snowmobiler will Drown in Grand Forks

Normally I’m the type of person who thinks that people should be responsible for their own actions.  However, there are cases in which the community should take preventive action to avoid stupid accidents and deaths.  In this case, I’m talking about the Riverside Dam in Grand Forks, North Dakota.  There is enough current in that location that the river never freezes, and the river is basically used as a highway for snowmobilers.

Today while hiking near the river I noticed a set of old snowmobile tracks that went into the open water, and I’m not totally sure if the snowmobiler made it across or not.  Last year two snowmobilers went in at the same location.  So far there have not been any fatalities that I know of, but it is only a matter of time until some unlucky snowmobiler losses track of where they are on the river and get sucked under the ice.  It is not very deep, but it would be easy to be thrown from the sled swept under the ice by the strong current.

It is purely negligent to not have warnings up all over the place.  Open water sings with blockades should be posted up and down river from the dam.  There will surely be an accidental death in the future that could have been  avoided if something is not done.

I was talking to a snowmobiler on the tail, and he mentioned that the cities could not post signs because they could be held liable for accidents.   It is my opinion that they should be held liable for not having the location marked.

Unfortunately, I do not know much about law, but it seems that this sort of thing should almost be covered under something like the Good Samaritan Law.  It is just common sense that the area should be well marked, and posting signage should not make anyone liable.  I might take the time to call the city and the police department to see if anything can be done.

Decide for yourself. Does this seem like a good idea?

I’m sure others have noticed the same problem. Make some calls if you would like to help.

Why I care…

Unfortunately, I had a similar experience  in 2005 when I noticed a section of road construction on highway 19 near Minnewaukan that was poorly, but legally marked.  I was a Park Ranger  and worked the night shift.  I hit the section about 1 a.m. on my way home.  Lucky I wasn’t going very fast.  I remember telling my mom that someone would die because of the way that road was marked and sure enough within the week someone ramped off the road and drown at the intersection of Highway 281 and 19. Unfortunately this was a stupid death that never should have happened.

I didn’t talk to the right people. I’ll try not to make the same mistakes twice.

Snow Storms and Global Warming->(Climate Change)

Normally I try to stay out of the Global Warming debate because I really don’t see it as a debate, but lately Fox New has really irritated me.  Snow storms in no way represent the world as a whole.  Are their newscasters really as stupid as the sound or is all just a ratings game to them?  Sadly the people who watch Fox News often believe what they hear and the newscaster’s stupidity is passed along to the viewers.

People really should realize that humans do in fact have the power to screw up the planet in a multitude of ways, but for some reason there is still debate on the topic.   CO2 and particulate in the atmosphere have an effect on the global climate.  It is possible that climate change is partially/dominantly natural, but humans are defiantly having an affect on the rate of change.

Normally both MSNBC and Fox news are total crap, but MSNBC is right about this one.

The Devils Lake Outlet

Most people are not familiar with Devils Lake, North Dakota so I will give you some background information. Devils Lake is the largest non-manmade lake in North Dakota. The lake is endorheic (a closed basin). In the late 1800s a ferry ran from Minnewaukan to Devils Lake. A dry climate in the early 1900s caused the water level to drop, and by the 1940s the lake was nearly dry. Since humans have an incredibly short memory roads, buildings, and cities where built on the lake bottom. In 1993 a region wide wet cycle began and has continued on ever since. Even though there have been some dry years the average precipitation has been significantly higher than the long term average. Many of the structures that were built on the lake bottom were lost to the rising water. The exceptions, of course, are those that demanded human intervention which could have been avoided if history had not been ignored.

Devils Lake hydrograph 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Devils Lake Hydrograph

Avoidable major projects.
Dike
Built a dike around the City of Devils Lake which permanently has the pressure of the lake pushing on it and could/will certainly cause it to fail. However, a failure would likely not cause loss of life because the water level should rise slow enough that people will be able to move out of the way, but water would still destroy much of the city.
Roads
Raised Highway 19 at least 4 times
Raised Highway 281 2 times and later forced it to be moved and re-routed ~ 1-3 miles West of original location
Raised Highway 20 and 57 at least 4 times
Raised the Grahams Island Road at least 3 times.
2010 (and likely 2011) Lost countless gravel roads and bridges that have been raised many times.
Cities bought out or relocated:
Forced the city of Churches Ferry to be relocated. (Many of the citizens were paid and stayed in town)
Minnewaukan will likely be partially relocated in 2011

This list should give you a pretty good idea of the situation in the region.

Each of these projects cost the state and federal tax payers millions of dollars, and estimates place total cost on levee system, roads, etc at $ 700-$800 million which does not include agricultural production loss. The number is especially staggering when one considers that the population directly affected by the lake is probably less than 15,000 which is about $50,000 per-person. (Update:  We are approaching 1 billion as of early 2011)

The remainder of this post will focus the existing and potential outlet systems for Devils Lake. The state run outlet system is on the West end of Devils Lake, and was constructed in 2003. The system uses a series of ditches and two (update: four [2010]) large pumps to move the water from Devils Lake to the Sheyanne River which is more than 100ft up hill over the divide between the two drainage systems. The outlet has basically done nothing for the lake level, and it never will because the volume of water that the pumps are able to move is simply insignificant when considering the size of Devils Lake.  The system was expanded in 2010, but even with doubled capacity will have little impact on like level.

Devils Lake outlet pump 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Part of the state outlet system.

This file shows the location of the outlet locations: GoogleEarth File Containing Outlet Locations You will need google earth to open the file

The large elevation difference disappears from west to east. At the east end of the lake (Historically called Stump Lake) there is little elevation difference that divides Devils Lake from the Sheyanne River. There are two obvious outlet channels that the lake has utilized in the past. The current level of the lake is ~1450, but could easily reach 1453 in the spring of 2010. If/When the water reaches an elevation of ~ 1458 above sea level. The Tolna Coulee outlet will become active. If the water flow is uncontrolled it would start to remove the sediment that has been deposited in the channel since the last time the outlet was active, and it could easily cause severe flooding problems down stream. Drill cores have been taken in the Tolna Coulee channel, and tree stumps have been found several feet bellow the surface which seems to indicate that the outlet should already be active, and is only inactive because it filled with sediment since the late time the outlet was active. A simple sweep with a ground penetrating radar should be able to confirm if the actual depth of the channel is great enough that the water should be flowing.

It seems likely that the lake will achieve the required elevation to initiate the outlet naturally, but there is no way that the lake will be allowed to drain uncontrollably. If left unchecked the flow could quickly remove the sediment, and flow could increase to enormous proportions. The cities down stream (Valley  City, Fargo, and Grand Forks) simply can not allow Devils Lake to contribute to already intense spring flooding problems. The logical thing to do is to preemptively build a control system on the Tolna Coulee, and remove the sediment from the old channel so that the lake is allowed to be discharge slowly. The other option is to allow the lake to naturally overflow and face intense local opposition to controlling the outflow. If a Tolna Coulee project is started now that scenario could be avoided and control mechanisms would be better accepted by locals who already want an outlet.  If a new outlet project is started locals may strongly oppose flow restrictions that will need to be put in place a few years down the road.

Articles you should read if you would like to know more.
https://www.dmr.nd.gov/ndgs/Devils_Lake/devils.htm

Devils Lake 1991 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Devils Lake 1991

Devils Lake 1997 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Devils Lake 1997

Devils Lake 2004 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Devils Lake 2004

Devils Lake 2009 150x150 The Devils Lake Outlet

Devils Lake 2009

*This post may be edited as I did not address water quality issues, but I may do so in the future
Reference http://www.ci.devils-lake.nd.us/documents/minutes/2009/09-24-09.pdf

Other Devils Lake Posts:
http://geothunder.com/2010/02/23/devils-lake-flooding-2010/

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